Harvard
W-L: (16-15) PR = 95.6766Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1017 H Northeastern E (29-10, 96.6) 6- 0 1018 A New Hampshire E (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 1024 H Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 2- 5 1025 H Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 0- 5 1031 A Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 1- 2 1101 A St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 1- 0 1107 A Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 1- 1 1108 H Dartmouth CAC ( 5-23, 93.8) 3- 0 1114 A Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 4- 1 1115 A Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 3- 4 1128 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 3- 4 1129 H Maine E (12-21, 94.5) 5- 1 1205 H Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 4- 2 1206 H RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 1- 3 102 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 3- 2 103 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 2- 3 109 H Brown CAC (18-15, 95.8) 2- 1 110 H Yale CAC (26-10, 97.0) 2- 3 113 A St. Cloud State CHA (11-24, 96.5) 2- 1 116 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 1- 3 117 A Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 4 120 A Boston University E (11-23, 94.3) 2- 1 123 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 1- 1 124 H Clarkson CAC (20-11, 96.6) 1- 3 130 A Colgate CAC (19-15, 96.0) 0- 3 131 A Cornell CAC (20-12, 96.7) 3- 1 206 H Quinnipiac CAC (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 1 207 H Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 3- 2 213 A RPI CAC ( 7-28, 93.4) 1- 4 214 A Union CAC (12-22, 94.4) 2- 1 221 H St. Lawrence CAC (12-21, 95.2) 3- 2 227 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 0- 1 228 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 3- 1 301 A Princeton CAC (23-11, 96.9) 1- 5
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1017 H Northeastern 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.51
1018 A New Hampshire 2- 1 1 0 0.93
1024 H Cornell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.40
1025 H Colgate 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.09
1031 A Clarkson 1- 2 -1 -1 0.27
1107 A Dartmouth 1- 1 0 2 -1.51
1108 H Dartmouth 3- 0 3 2 0.70
1114 A Yale 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.69
1115 A Brown 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.44
1128 H Maine 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.55
1129 H Maine 5- 1 4 2 + 2.45
1205 H Union 4- 2 2 2 0.35
1206 H RPI 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.64
102 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.61
103 A Boston University 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.02
109 H Brown 2- 1 1 0 0.77
110 H Yale 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.09
113 A St. Cloud State 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.23
116 A Princeton 1- 3 -2 -2 -0.40
117 A Quinnipiac 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.81
120 A Boston University 2- 1 1 1 -0.02
123 H St. Lawrence 1- 1 0 1 -0.92
124 H Clarkson 1- 3 -2 0 -1.51
130 A Colgate 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.31
131 A Cornell 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.39
206 H Quinnipiac 1- 1 0 -1 1.41
207 H Princeton 3- 2 1 -1 1.82
213 A RPI 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.85
214 A Union 2- 1 1 1 0.14
221 H St. Lawrence 3- 2 1 1 0.08
228 A Princeton 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.60
301 A Princeton 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.40
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1025 H Colgate 0- 5 -5 0 -- -5.09 1206 H RPI 1- 3 -2 3 -- -4.64 213 A RPI 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.85 1024 H Cornell 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.40 1128 H Maine 3- 4 -1 2 - -2.55 103 A Boston University 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.02 130 A Colgate 0- 3 -3 -1 - -2.31 301 A Princeton 1- 5 -4 -2 - -2.40 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1017 H Northeastern 6- 0 6 -1 +++ 6.51 1114 A Yale 4- 1 3 -2 ++ 4.69 1129 H Maine 5- 1 4 2 + 2.45 102 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 2 1 -2 + 2.61 113 A St. Cloud State 2- 1 1 -1 + 2.23 131 A Cornell 3- 1 2 -1 + 3.39 228 A Princeton 3- 1 2 -2 + 3.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Northeastern (29-10, 96.6) 6- 0 -3.32 4.68 -0.39 1.08 9.23
3 A New Hampshire (17-16, 95.2) 2- 1 -4.69 3.31 0.39 1.08 7.98
3 H Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 2- 5 -3.23 4.78 -0.39 1.08 -1.95
3 H Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 0- 5 -3.92 4.08 -0.39 1.08 -2.32
3 A Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 1- 2 -3.34 4.66 0.39 1.08 -1.59
3 A St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 1- 0 -4.75 3.25 0.39 1.08 7.86
3 A Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 1- 1 -6.13 1.88 0.39 1.08 0.00
3 H Dartmouth ( 5-23, 93.8) 3- 0 -6.13 1.88 -0.39 1.08 3.19
3 A Yale (26-10, 97.0) 4- 1 -2.92 5.08 0.39 1.08 11.79
3 A Brown (18-15, 95.8) 3- 4 -4.06 3.94 0.39 1.08 -1.97
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 3- 4 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 1.08 -3.11
3 H Maine (12-21, 94.5) 5- 1 -5.38 2.62 -0.39 1.08 4.80
3 H Union (12-22, 94.4) 4- 2 -5.48 2.53 -0.39 1.08 4.60
3 H RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 1- 3 -6.47 1.53 -0.39 1.08 -3.70
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 3- 2 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 1.08 11.62
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 2- 3 -5.64 2.37 0.39 1.08 -2.82
3 H Brown (18-15, 95.8) 2- 1 -4.06 3.94 -0.39 1.08 7.65
3 H Yale (26-10, 97.0) 2- 3 -2.92 5.08 -0.39 1.08 -1.79
3 A St. Cloud Stat (11-24, 96.5) 2- 1 -3.39 4.62 0.39 1.08 10.79
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 1- 3 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.08 -1.41
3 A Quinnipiac (29- 9, 97.5) 1- 4 -2.42 5.58 0.39 1.08 -1.09
3 A Boston Univers (11-23, 94.3) 2- 1 -5.64 2.37 0.39 1.08 5.94
3 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 1- 1 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.08 0.00
3 H Clarkson (20-11, 96.6) 1- 3 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 1.08 -2.01
3 A Colgate (19-15, 96.0) 0- 3 -3.92 4.08 0.39 1.08 -1.90
3 A Cornell (20-12, 96.7) 3- 1 -3.23 4.78 0.39 1.08 11.14
3 H Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 3- 2 -3.01 4.99 -0.39 1.08 9.90
3 A RPI ( 7-28, 93.4) 1- 4 -6.47 1.53 0.39 1.08 -3.27
3 A Union (12-22, 94.4) 2- 1 -5.48 2.53 0.39 1.08 6.29
3 H St. Lawrence (12-21, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.75 3.25 -0.39 1.08 6.16
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 0- 1 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.08 -1.41
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 3- 1 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.08 11.60
3 A Princeton (23-11, 96.9) 1- 5 -3.01 4.99 0.39 1.08 -1.41
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98.76
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winning pts = 130.5289 losing points = -31.7655
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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